El Salvador's Bukele makes a political gamble with a Haiti gang offensive ahead of an election

Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele has launched a military offensive in Haiti, aiming to present himself as a solution to the country's gang crisis. The operation involves 2,500 soldiers and has been ongoing since mid-October. Bukele's government claims it is helping Haiti take back its country. The president's approval rating is over 90% ahead of February elections.

Experts say Bukele's move is a high-stakes gamble, potentially isolating allies and affecting popular support. The offensive has sparked concerns over human rights and the risk of exacerbating violence. Amnesty International has called for transparency and compliance with international law. The US has distanced itself from the operation.

Security analysts doubt Bukele's ability to replicate his anti-gang model in Haiti, citing the complexity of the country's gang warfare. Haiti's gangs are well-armed and entwined with the political elite, making it challenging for Bukele to achieve a quick victory. The operation's costs and potential human toll are also concerns, with warnings of civilians being caught in the crossfire.